The Celestia Bull Case Thesis
The Celestia Bull Case Thesis
The Celestia Bull Case Thesis

Celestia

Interchain

The Celestia Bull Case Thesis

Why $TIA Could Reach $50 this Cycle

Seppmos

Researcher

Date

August 27, 2025

Why $TIA Could Reach $50 this Cycle

Celestia's Path to $1B+ Annual Revenue

The modular blockchain narrative has been gaining momentum, and Celestia (TIA) is at the center of it. As the first dedicated data availability (DA) layer, Celestia introduces a fundamentally new way for blockchains and applications to scale. In this article, we’ll break down the Celestia bull case, explore how data-hungry apps like VEX are driving demand, and why $TIA could potentially reach $50 this cycle.

Why Data Availability Matters

Most blockchains struggle with scalability because they attempt to handle execution, consensus, and data availability in one place. Celestia decouples these layers by specializing only in data availability. This allows developers to launch their own execution environments, whether EVM, SVM, or custom frameworks, while outsourcing their throughput needs to Celestia.

The result is unprecedented scale and verifiability. Unlike traditional chains, users can run lightweight clients on their phones to verify every transaction in real time, creating a truly trustless experience.

VEX: A Game-Changer for DA Demand

The strongest bull case for Celestia is the arrival of data-intensive applications. VEX, the first verifiable exchange, posts around 20 GB of data daily to Celestia while maintaining 50ms execution speed. This level of throughput was previously impossible on-chain.

For comparison:

  • Eclipse (largest rollup on Celestia mainnet) posts less than 1 GB per day.

  • Hibachi, another orderbook DEX, consumes 500MB daily.

  • VEX dwarfs them all, consuming 20x more DA than the previous leaders.

This demonstrates the massive revenue potential if more exchanges, gaming platforms, or stablecoin chain post their data to Celestia.

Revenue Potential and Scaling

Currently, posting 1 MB of data to Celestia costs around $0.04. At this rate, VEX pays roughly $900/day (or $27k/month) for one trading pair. With multiple markets, costs quickly scale into thousands of dollars daily, creating a sustainable revenue stream for Celestia.

Looking ahead, Celestia aims to scale from today’s 8 MB blocks to its “North Star” target of 1 GB blocks every second. At this capacity, Celestia could theoretically support 4,000+ high-throughput applications and generate $1B+ in annual revenue.

Two additional levers further boost the bull case:

  1. Raising DA fees – Current fees are priced only for spam resistance. Even a 5–10x increase would still be cheaper than Ethereum while multiplying revenue.

  2. Scaling beyond 1 GB/s – Larger blocks over time unlock even higher throughput and revenue.

The Growing Celestia Ecosystem

Beyond VEX, several high-profile projects are building with Celestia under the hood:

  • Abstract – Pudgy Penguins’ gaming & social chain

  • Converge – A payments & stablecoin rollup (linked to Ethena)

  • XO Market – A prediction/conviction market

  • Anime Chain – Built by the Azuki team

  • Noble, Plume, Towns, Payy – Covering stablecoins, RWAs, private payments, and social apps

This growing ecosystem signals strong product market fit for Celestia’s DA layer.

Risks and Concerns

No bull case is complete without risks:

  • Profitability – DA-heavy apps must sustain enough revenue to justify daily posting costs.

  • TIA Volatility – Fees are denominated in TIA, which can create unpredictable costs for builders if the token price spikes.

Conclusion: Why Celestia Could Be a Top 10 Crypto

Celestia offers three unique advantages: extreme scale, extreme control, and extreme verifiability. If adoption continues and data-hungry apps proliferate, $TIA could capture significant value and potentially reach $50 this cycle.

As modular blockchains gain traction, Celestia is positioned to become the default data availability layer of Web3, powering the next wave of high-throughput applications and potentially billions in annual revenue.

Thanks for reading folks!

We hope this article helped you stay up-to-date with the latest developments in the Cosmos ecosystem.

Disclaimer

This article is intended to educate readers about certain topics and should not be considered financial advice in any way.

Table of contents

Title

Share article

Share article

Share article

Stay Informed and Inspired

Join our exclusive subscriber community to never miss out!
By signing up, you'll receive straight to your inbox

Join our exclusive subscriber community to never miss out! By signing up, you'll receive straight to your inbox

Our media partners